Per-validator forensics ahead of external set opening.
IT'S ALPHA
Pure research & development. This page exists so we can test whether the on-chain data patterns are coherent enough to derive insight at the boundaries of what's observable. Methodology is disclosed, error bounds are surfaced where possible, but accuracy is not guaranteed and we may rewrite, replace, or remove anything you see here at any time. Do not trade or make decisions on this output without independent verification.
What is alpha: read the full alpha protocol →
Per-validator breakdown
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Methodology
- Stake share = validator stake / total network stake.
- Concentration score = sigmoid mapping of stake share (logistic centred at 18%, steepness 8). Validators above 25% network share read as red regardless of label — by design.
- Gini coefficient of validator stakes. 0 = uniform, 1 = one validator owns everything. As external validators graduate, expect Gini to drift up before settling.
- Activity 24h = staking_deposits rows touching this validator. Proxy for delegation churn.
- Class = real-time classification by the transient detector. canonical = on the founder/active whitelist; candidate = unknown signer with high avg tx/block (≥ 100), likely a real validator graduating; canary = unknown signer with low avg tx/block (≤ 5) and short lifespan, likely a consensus warm-up that won't graduate.
- Avg tx/blk = total tx_count summed across all blocks signed by this validator since first observation, divided by blocks signed. Real validators typically settle around 240-320; canaries hover near 0-1.
Coming in v0.3
- Per-validator oracle deviation (rolling 24h, vs final median, in bps)
- Sealing latency ratio vs network mean (catches slow validators)
- Composite slashing risk score with full evidence trail
Gated on more UpdateOracle txs landing in chain_txs (still rare) + a sealing-latency writer over block_signatures.