Wallets that move BEFORE the move.
IT'S ALPHA
Pure research & development. This page exists so we can test whether the on-chain data patterns are coherent enough to derive insight at the boundaries of what's observable. Methodology is disclosed, error bounds are surfaced where possible, but accuracy is not guaranteed and we may rewrite, replace, or remove anything you see here at any time. Do not trade or make decisions on this output without independent verification.
What is alpha: read the full alpha protocol →
Live whale orders
Realtime feed of incoming whale-sized orders. Scoring is still delayed (needs +1h/+6h/+24h price observations), but you see the entry the moment it lands.
Waiting for whale orders. Subscribe activates once the table receives an INSERT.
Methodology
- For each whale order in the rolling 30d window, we capture entry price + symbol + side.
- At +1h / +6h / +24h after entry, we read the symbol's price and compute the signed move in bps (positive = favorable for the side).
- A hit = signed move > ε (default 10 bps). win_rate = mean(hit) per address per horizon.
- Ranking score = win_rate × log(samples + 1). Addresses with < 10 samples at the chosen horizon are filtered.
Top addresses · last 30 days · 6h horizon
Caveats published in full: address identity is on-chain only — we don't know who's behind a hot streak. A high score over 30 days isn't a guarantee for tomorrow. Don't copy-trade alpha output.